{"id":32273,"date":"2026-11-10T09:55:21","date_gmt":"2026-11-10T09:55:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/moneycompass.com.my\/cn\/?p=32273"},"modified":"2026-11-10T09:55:21","modified_gmt":"2026-11-10T09:55:21","slug":"%e9%bb%84%e4%bb%81%e5%8b%8b%e5%8e%bb%e7%95%99%e5%bc%95%e7%88%86%e8%8b%b1%e4%bc%9f%e8%be%be%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba%ef%bc%9f%e4%bb%85%e6%8c%81%e8%82%a13-4%ef%bc%8c%e8%82%a1%e4%bb%b7%e9%9a%94%e5%a4%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/moneycompass.com.my\/cn\/%e9%bb%84%e4%bb%81%e5%8b%8b%e5%8e%bb%e7%95%99%e5%bc%95%e7%88%86%e8%8b%b1%e4%bc%9f%e8%be%be%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba%ef%bc%9f%e4%bb%85%e6%8c%81%e8%82%a13-4%ef%bc%8c%e8%82%a1%e4%bb%b7%e9%9a%94%e5%a4%9c\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u53bb\u7559\u5f15\u7206\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u5371\u673a\uff1f\u4ec5\u6301\u80a13.4%\uff0c\u80a1\u4ef7\u9694\u591c\u8dcc4.27%"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\"\"<\/p>\n

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\u7efc\u5408\u5916\u5a92\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4e0e\u90e8\u5206\u79d1\u6280\u5de8\u5934\u7684\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5458\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u5728\u516c\u53f8\u6cbb\u7406\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0a\u7684\u4fdd\u969c\u76f8\u5bf9\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6839\u636eFactSet\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u4ec5\u6301\u6709\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u7ea63.4%\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u800c\u516c\u53f8\u5e76\u672a\u91c7\u7528\u53cc\u91cd\u80a1\u6743\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u8ba9\u521b\u529e\u4eba\u6216\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5458\u62e5\u6709\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6301\u80a1\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u6295\u7968\u6743\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5206\u6790\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u9879\u56e0\u7d20\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u8463\u4e8b\u5c40\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u52a8\u64a4\u6362\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u3002\u82e5\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\u4ed6\u6d89\u53ca\u8fdd\u53cd\u516c\u53f8\u5229\u76ca\u51b2\u7a81\u89c4\u8303\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5f71\u54cd\u5176\u804c\u4f4d\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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Melius Research\u9996\u5e2d\u79d1\u6280\u5206\u6790\u5458\u8d56\u7b56\u65af\uff08Ben Reitzes\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u76ee\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u660e\u786e\u7684\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u63a5\u73ed\u4eba\u9009\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u539f\u5148\u9884\u671f\u4ed6\u81f3\u5c11\u8fd8\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u9886\u5bfc\u516c\u53f810\u5e74\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u5177\u5907\u6280\u672f\u80cc\u666f\u7684\u9ad8\u9636\u4e3b\u7ba1\u5305\u62ec\u8d85\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8fd0\u7b97\u4e0e\u9ad8\u6548\u80fd\u8fd0\u7b97\u526f\u603b\u88c1\u5df4\u514b\uff08Ian Buck\uff09\u3001\u9996\u5e2d\u6280\u672f\u5458\u5361\u6839\uff08Michael Kagan\uff09\u3001\u9996\u5e2d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u8fbe\u5229\uff08Bill Dally\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f51\u7edc\u4e1a\u52a1\u8d44\u6df1\u526f\u603b\u88c1\u6c99\u4f0a\u7eb3\uff08Gilad Shainer\uff09\u3002\u9996\u5e2d\u8d22\u52a1\u5458\u514b\u96f7\u65af\uff08Colette Kress\uff09\u5219\u81ea2013\u5e74\u8d77\u4fbf\u5728\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u4efb\u804c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u5173\u952e\u4eba\u7269\u98ce\u9669\u7a81\u51fa\u3000\u63a5\u73ed\u5b89\u6392\u6210\u6311\u6218<\/b><\/p>\n

\u8d56\u7b56\u65af\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9ad8\u9636\u4e3b\u7ba1\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u7ef4\u6301\u516c\u53f8\u6b63\u5e38\u8fd0\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f46\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u5728\u516c\u53f8\u5185\u90e8\u5177\u6709\u72ec\u7279\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u82e5\u8981\u7ef4\u6301\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u6295\u8d44\u524d\u666f\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u4ed6\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u529b\u4e0e\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u4e54\u6cbb\u57ce\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u65bd\u6d1b\u7b56\uff08Jason Schloetzer\uff09\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u82e5\u4ece\u8fd960\u540d\u76f4\u5c5e\u4e3b\u7ba1\u4e2d\u6311\u9009\u7ee7\u4efb\u8005\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u9ad8\u9636\u4e3b\u7ba1\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u4eba\u9009\u4ea7\u751f\u8d28\u7591\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u8d85\u5fae\uff08AMD\uff09\u3001\u4e91\u7aef\u670d\u52a1\u5546\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u6676\u7247\u4e1a\u8005\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8d81\u7ba1\u7406\u5c42\u51fa\u73b0\u53d8\u52a8\u65f6\u6316\u89d2\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u4eba\u624d\u6d41\u5931\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5173\u6ce8\u79bb\u4efb\u673a\u7387\u3000\u6700\u574f\u60c5\u5883\u80a1\u4ef7\u6050\u8dcc30%<\/b><\/p>\n

\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u672a\u6765\u662f\u5426\u7ee7\u7eed\u638c\u8235\uff0c\u4e5f\u6210\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u8bae\u9898\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5e73\u53f0Kalshi\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u57282027\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u79bb\u5f00\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u7684\u673a\u7387\u4e3a17%\uff0c\u52302028\u5e74\u5347\u81f330%\uff0c2029\u5e74\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f335%\uff1b\u81f3\u4e8e\u4ed6\u57282031\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u79bb\u4efb\u7684\u673a\u7387\uff0c\u5219\u9ad8\u8fbe75%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5e73\u53f0Polymarket\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\uff0c\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u57282027\u5e743\u6708\u5e95\u4e4b\u524d\u4e3b\u52a8\u8f9e\u804c\u6216\u88ab\u8feb\u79bb\u4efb\u7684\u673a\u7387\u4e3a25%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

Mahoney Asset Management\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5458\u9a6c\u5965\u5c3c\uff08Ken Mahoney\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u82e5\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u906d\u64a4\u6362\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u80a1\u4ef7\u6050\u9762\u4e34\u6bd4\u76ee\u524d\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

Freedom Broker\u8d44\u6df1\u8bc1\u5238\u5206\u6790\u5458\u6258\u5c14\u9a6c\u4e54\u592b\uff08Egor Tolmachev\uff09\u5219\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u5728\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u79bb\u804c\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u516c\u53f8\u53c8\u906d\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6700\u574f\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u80a1\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0b\u8dcc10%\u81f330%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u535a\u901a\uff08Broadcom\uff09\u53ca\u8d85\u5fae\u80a1\u4ef7\u5206\u522b\u4e0a\u6da88.78%\u548c13.26%\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5e26\u52a8\u8d39\u57ce\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u6307\u6570\u8d70\u9ad8\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u52a9\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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content=\"\uff08\u5723\u514b\u62c9\u62c910\u65e5\u8baf\uff09\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\uff08Nvidia\uff09\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5458\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u5377\u5165\u7591\u4f3c\u4e2d\u56fd\u60c5\u62a5\u6e17\u900f\u98ce\u6ce2\uff0c\u8463\u4e8b\u5c40\u636e\u62a5\u5df2\u542f\u52a8\u72ec\u7acb\u8c03\u67e5\u3002\u8fd9\u573a\u98ce\u6ce2\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8ba9\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u7684\u53bb\u7559\u6210\u4e3a\u7126\u70b9\uff0c\u4e5f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u66b4\u9732\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u5728\u516c\u53f8\u6cbb\u7406\u53ca\u63a5\u73ed\u5b89\u6392\u4e0a\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u98ce\u9669\u3002 \u5916\u5a92\u5206\u6790\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u662f\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u5171\u540c\u521b\u529e\u4eba\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u76ee\u524d\u4ec5\u6301\u6709\u516c\u53f83.4%\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u5e76\u672a\u91c7\u7528\u53cc\u91cd\u80a1\u6743\u67b6\u6784\uff0c\u8ba9\u521b\u529e\u4eba\u62e5\u6709\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5b9e\u9645\u6301\u80a1\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u6295\u7968\u6743\u3002 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\u6839\u636eFactSet\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u4ec5\u6301\u6709\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u7ea63.4%\u7684\u80a1\u4efd\uff0c\u800c\u516c\u53f8\u5e76\u672a\u91c7\u7528\u53cc\u91cd\u80a1\u6743\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u8ba9\u521b\u529e\u4eba\u6216\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5458\u62e5\u6709\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6301\u80a1\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u6295\u7968\u6743\u3002 \u5206\u6790\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u9879\u56e0\u7d20\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u8463\u4e8b\u5c40\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u52a8\u64a4\u6362\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u3002\u82e5\u8c03\u67e5\u53d1\u73b0\u4ed6\u6d89\u53ca\u8fdd\u53cd\u516c\u53f8\u5229\u76ca\u51b2\u7a81\u89c4\u8303\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5f71\u54cd\u5176\u804c\u4f4d\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002 \u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u8463\u4e8b\u5c40\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u8868\u8fbe\u5bf9\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u53ca\u7ba1\u7406\u56e2\u961f\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002 Melius Research\u9996\u5e2d\u79d1\u6280\u5206\u6790\u5458\u8d56\u7b56\u65af\uff08Ben Reitzes\uff09\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u76ee\u524d\u6ca1\u6709\u660e\u786e\u7684\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u63a5\u73ed\u4eba\u9009\uff0c\u800c\u5e02\u573a\u539f\u5148\u9884\u671f\u4ed6\u81f3\u5c11\u8fd8\u4f1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u9886\u5bfc\u516c\u53f810\u5e74\u3002 \u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u5177\u5907\u6280\u672f\u80cc\u666f\u7684\u9ad8\u9636\u4e3b\u7ba1\u5305\u62ec\u8d85\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8fd0\u7b97\u4e0e\u9ad8\u6548\u80fd\u8fd0\u7b97\u526f\u603b\u88c1\u5df4\u514b\uff08Ian Buck\uff09\u3001\u9996\u5e2d\u6280\u672f\u5458\u5361\u6839\uff08Michael Kagan\uff09\u3001\u9996\u5e2d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u8fbe\u5229\uff08Bill Dally\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f51\u7edc\u4e1a\u52a1\u8d44\u6df1\u526f\u603b\u88c1\u6c99\u4f0a\u7eb3\uff08Gilad Shainer\uff09\u3002\u9996\u5e2d\u8d22\u52a1\u5458\u514b\u96f7\u65af\uff08Colette Kress\uff09\u5219\u81ea2013\u5e74\u8d77\u4fbf\u5728\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u4efb\u804c\u3002 \u5173\u952e\u4eba\u7269\u98ce\u9669\u7a81\u51fa\u3000\u63a5\u73ed\u5b89\u6392\u6210\u6311\u6218 \u8d56\u7b56\u65af\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9ad8\u9636\u4e3b\u7ba1\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u7ef4\u6301\u516c\u53f8\u6b63\u5e38\u8fd0\u4f5c\uff0c\u4f46\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u5728\u516c\u53f8\u5185\u90e8\u5177\u6709\u72ec\u7279\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u82e5\u8981\u7ef4\u6301\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u6295\u8d44\u524d\u666f\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u4ed6\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u529b\u4e0e\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u3002 \u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u503c\u5f97\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u9690\u5fe7\uff0c\u662f\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u6240\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u96c6\u4e2d\u7ba1\u7406\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002 \u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u91c7\u53d6\u6241\u5e73\u5316\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u9886\u5bfc\u7ea660\u540d\u4e3b\u7ba1\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u51b3\u7b56\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4ef0\u8d56\u4ed6\u672c\u4eba\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u67b6\u6784\u867d\u7136\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u52a0\u5feb\u51b3\u7b56\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u5374\u4e5f\u8ba9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u63a5\u73ed\u5b89\u6392\u66f4\u52a0\u590d\u6742\u3002 \u4e54\u6cbb\u57ce\u5927\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u65bd\u6d1b\u7b56\uff08Jason Schloetzer\uff09\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u82e5\u4ece\u8fd960\u540d\u76f4\u5c5e\u4e3b\u7ba1\u4e2d\u6311\u9009\u7ee7\u4efb\u8005\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u9ad8\u9636\u4e3b\u7ba1\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u4eba\u9009\u4ea7\u751f\u8d28\u7591\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u8d85\u5fae\uff08AMD\uff09\u3001\u4e91\u7aef\u670d\u52a1\u5546\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u6676\u7247\u4e1a\u8005\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8d81\u7ba1\u7406\u5c42\u51fa\u73b0\u53d8\u52a8\u65f6\u6316\u89d2\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u4eba\u624d\u6d41\u5931\u3002 \u82e5\u516c\u53f8\u6539\u7531\u5916\u90e8\u4eba\u58eb\u63a5\u4efb\uff0c\u65b0\u4efb\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5458\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u65b0\u8c03\u6574\u73b0\u6709\u7ec4\u7ec7\u67b6\u6784\u3002 \u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5173\u6ce8\u79bb\u4efb\u673a\u7387\u3000\u6700\u574f\u60c5\u5883\u80a1\u4ef7\u6050\u8dcc30% \u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u672a\u6765\u662f\u5426\u7ee7\u7eed\u638c\u8235\uff0c\u4e5f\u6210\u4e3a\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u8bae\u9898\u3002 \u6839\u636e\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5e73\u53f0Kalshi\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u57282027\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u79bb\u5f00\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u7684\u673a\u7387\u4e3a17%\uff0c\u52302028\u5e74\u5347\u81f330%\uff0c2029\u5e74\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u9ad8\u81f335%\uff1b\u81f3\u4e8e\u4ed6\u57282031\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\u79bb\u4efb\u7684\u673a\u7387\uff0c\u5219\u9ad8\u8fbe75%\u3002 \u53e6\u4e00\u9884\u6d4b\u5e02\u573a\u5e73\u53f0Polymarket\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\uff0c\u5219\u8ba4\u4e3a\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u57282027\u5e743\u6708\u5e95\u4e4b\u524d\u4e3b\u52a8\u8f9e\u804c\u6216\u88ab\u8feb\u79bb\u4efb\u7684\u673a\u7387\u4e3a25%\u3002 Mahoney Asset Management\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5458\u9a6c\u5965\u5c3c\uff08Ken Mahoney\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u82e5\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u906d\u64a4\u6362\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u80a1\u4ef7\u6050\u9762\u4e34\u6bd4\u76ee\u524d\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002 Freedom Broker\u8d44\u6df1\u8bc1\u5238\u5206\u6790\u5458\u6258\u5c14\u9a6c\u4e54\u592b\uff08Egor Tolmachev\uff09\u5219\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u5728\u9ec4\u4ec1\u52cb\u79bb\u804c\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u516c\u53f8\u53c8\u906d\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6700\u574f\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u80a1\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0b\u8dcc10%\u81f330%\u3002 \u82f1\u4f1f\u8fbe\u80a1\u4ef7\u8dcc4.27%\u3000\u521b4\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6536\u76d8\u65b0\u4f4e 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